Logistics Confidence Index Signals Flat Shipper Confidence for Q2

The second quarter of 2024 forecast reveals horizontal to slightly down confidence from shippers across industry segments, according to research released by BlueGrace Logistics.

Marina Mayer |  Food Logistics
February 28, 2024

The second quarter of 2024 forecast reveals horizontal to slightly down confidence from shippers across industry segments, according to research released by BlueGrace Logistics.

Prudent confidence for revenue growth can be associated to lower certainty in orders and a notable shrinking forecast with inventories

“Prudent confidence for revenue growth can be associated to lower certainty in orders and a notable shrinking forecast with inventories,” says Mark Derks, chief marketing officer for BlueGrace Logistics. “A cautious and uncertain outlook in orders persists with businesses adopting a wait-and-see approach to current market trends. Despite more elevated shipper concerns, a stable median impact implies no significant shift in order expectations for Q2 2024.”

Key takeaways:

• Fueled by a balanced market environment in Q1, shippers are cautious for the upcoming quarter in correlation to growth or shrinkage to overall volume and price of products.
• The latest data set exhibits a cautious outlook on revenue growth, with a slight uptick in negative sentiment of 2%. A decrease in neutrality hints at emerging caution among stakeholders in terms of revenue and business growth.
• Inventory levels for Q2 are down in sentiment showing a prominent increase in negative confidence and a decrease in positive outlook. Elevated negative views for inventories climbed to 16%, the highest level in the seven quarters of the BlueGrace Logistics Confidence Index. A continued level of neutrality reflects the uncertainty of inventory growth or shrinkage for Q2.
• Confidence in orders is lower, with a 56% neutral outlook and a falling positive response of 9% down from Q1 2024.
• Q1 vs. Q2 quarter-over-quarter changes show improved shipper consensus across revenue, inventory, and orders, indicating stronger alignment in expectations as 2024 progresses. Businesses are advised to monitor these trends closely and remain agile in planning, and overall expectations.